Resolve on the next major model release from a top-five lab announcing downloadable weights under a permissive license.
Will this quarter end with more open markets than last quarter?
A simple growth question. Resolution: count open markets at the end of the quarter versus the previous quarter, using the operator dashboard.
What brings you back to a community?
For me it is seeing the same thoughtful people reply to each other over time. Notifications help, but only when they point to something worth reading.
A question about resolution sources
If two sources disagree, the market rules should say which one wins before anyone participates. This is the part I would read first.
Design note: the empty state is part of the product
When a market has no activity yet, the empty state should teach the user what happens next. A countdown and a clear next action are more useful than a generic blank panel.
AI model releases are getting harder to compare
Benchmarks move fast and marketing moves faster. I would like to see markets that resolve on a specific, verifiable release event rather than a vague "best model" claim.
What makes a prediction market question actually useful?
A good question needs a clear deadline, a resolution source, and enough uncertainty that reasonable people can disagree. Which of those is missing most often in markets you have seen?
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